Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.481749 4.115809 4.859754 5.804213 6.981437 8.413800 10.309035
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.518558 3.278742 4.284795 5.742382 7.849264 10.864047 15.657271
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.078023 2.874403 4.012932 5.814256 8.700266 13.347506 21.859690
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.777481 2.575671 3.787332 5.844052 9.430924 15.819883 29.102504
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.605678 2.424203 3.735140 6.108223 10.590127 19.394774 40.208048
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.405412 2.188992 3.496602 5.985783 10.996655 21.668150 49.834442
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.265224 2.027768 3.349581 5.987751 11.634046 24.654694 63.125614
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.137601 1.868008 3.175977 5.896085 12.042149 27.276388 77.330856
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.059142 1.783052 3.123752 6.034870 13.004986 31.703465 101.030470
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.962783 1.652492 2.963888 5.910361 13.302260 34.468271 121.495020
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.934357 1.644772 3.043119 6.331516 15.121227 42.682667 174.380068
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.892733 1.605839 3.051957 6.590897 16.599986 50.708512 239.042161
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.847709 1.565166 3.073838 6.952026 18.730166 63.453834 364.748440
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.772678 1.455986 2.934420 6.887094 19.608890 72.522357 498.488609
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.718332 1.381868 2.859997 6.976000 21.061292 85.756869 726.052799
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.667775 1.308771 2.774950 7.013235 22.374470 100.032011 1051.630577
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.638483 1.278325 2.787134 7.343332 25.026844 125.650241 1765.595094
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.588767 1.195293 2.654414 7.190246 25.629351 139.594481 2444.013114
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.551643 1.136870 2.575628 7.192706 26.956055 161.244726 3705.058627
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.513583 1.071841 2.469611 7.078194 27.704646 180.175958 5379.744011
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.490468 1.039887 2.447580 7.251601 30.030302 218.465059 9580.737208
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.457604 0.980552 2.341422 7.096023 30.559672 240.899173 14300.020853
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.450356 0.983795 2.411956 7.622901 35.347020 326.116547 38063.450258